GROUP KMATCHDAY 1

Uzbekistan vs IC2 (TBD): World Cup 2026 Prediction

2026-06-13 · Lumen Field, Seattle

10,000 Sim Result

38%Uzbekistan+163
25%Draw+300
37%IC2 (TBD)+170
Over 2.5: NoBTTS: No

Top Value Play

Under 2.5 goals

Uzbekistan

Odds+40000
Advance %61.6%
Win title %0.9%

IC2 (TBD) — TBD qualifier

Match Analysis

Uzbekistan and IC2 (TBD) meet in Group K at the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 2026-06-13 at Lumen Field, Seattle. This is one of the tighter matches in Group K. The simulation sees these teams as closely matched, with just a 1-point spread. This shapes up as a tighter, lower-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals is the lean based on defensive profiles and group stage conservative tactics. Top value play: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction markets price these outcomes in real time across Kalshi and Polymarket. Our simulation provides a baseline probability model — when the market diverges by 5+ percentage points from our sim, that's where the edge lives. Convert any market price to implied probability →

For the full methodology behind these projections, see How Our Monte Carlo Simulation Works. All 48-team advancement probabilities are available in the Full Simulation Results.