GROUP IMATCHDAY 3

France vs IC1 (TBD): World Cup 2026 Prediction

2026-06-26 · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough

10,000 Sim Result

45%France+122
25%Draw+300
30%IC1 (TBD)+233
Over 2.5: Yes ✓BTTS: No

Top Value Play

France over 2.5 goals

France

Odds+700
Advance %84.9%
Win title %6.7%

IC1 (TBD) — TBD qualifier

Match Analysis

France and IC1 (TBD) meet in Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 2026-06-26 at Gillette Stadium, Foxborough. Our simulation gives France a clear edge — a 15-point win probability gap separating these sides. The Over 2.5 goals is our primary market play. The combined attacking profiles of these sides project to a high-scoring affair. Top value play: France over 2.5 goals.

Prediction markets price these outcomes in real time across Kalshi and Polymarket. Our simulation provides a baseline probability model — when the market diverges by 5+ percentage points from our sim, that's where the edge lives. Convert any market price to implied probability →

For the full methodology behind these projections, see How Our Monte Carlo Simulation Works. All 48-team advancement probabilities are available in the Full Simulation Results.