wc-mispricings — prediction market widget

FIFA WORLD CUP 2026 10K MONTE CARLO · LIVE MARKETS

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NOW

June 11 — Estadio Azteca, Mexico City

USA · CANADA · MEXICO · 48 TEAMS · 104 MATCHES

MODEL TOP 5 · WIN PROBABILITY 10K SIM · UPDATED 2026

10,000 tournament runs say:

#1 🇫🇷

France

21.5%

#2 🇪🇸

Spain

14.1%

#3 🇦🇷

Argentina

11.2%

#4 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

England

7.5%

#5 🇧🇷

Brazil

7.1%

MODEL SPOTLIGHT · GROUP H 10K SIM · OUR FAVORITE

FAVORITE TO LIFT THE TROPHY

🇪🇸 Spain 14.1%

Group win 100.0%

Advance 100.0%

Reach SF 36.0%

Live edge cards activate when Kalshi & Polymarket markets price up.

FIXTURE WATCH 10K SIM · UPCOMING

GROUP MATCHDAY 0 · 2026-07-01

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENG

⚽ COD

64% ENG WIN

22% DRAW

14% COD WIN

Pick: England to advance