PMP · MODEL LINE vs MARKET 2026 · WEEK 4
MatchupModel lineMktEdge
PIT @ CLE
CLE −2.0 41% 43% -1pp
IND @ WAS
IND −5.0 62% 65% -2pp
TEN @ BAL
BAL −7.5 85% 86% -1pp
NE @ BUF
HELD — QB pending — 74% —
NYJ @ CHI
CHI −2.5 62% 62% 0pp
JAX @ CIN
JAX −0.5 41% 44% -2pp
DAL @ HOU
HOU −2.5 59% 56% +2pp
ARI @ NYG
ARI −0.5 54% 53% 0pp
LAR @ PHI
LAR −0.5 60% 60% +1pp
GB @ TB
GB −3.5 62% 65% -2pp
MIA @ MIN
MIN −5.0 85% 84% +1pp
KC @ LV
KC −0.5 65% 64% +1pp
LAC @ SEA
SEA −8.0 73% 75% -1pp
DEN @ SF
SF −3.5 60% 59% +2pp
DET @ CAR
CAR −0.0 38% 36% +2pp
ATL @ NO
NO −2.0 59% 59% 0pp
Model line = PMP Gridiron Edge favorite & spread · Fair (books) = the market line win probability for that side · Mkt = Kalshi-implied · Edge = Fair (books) − Kalshi (pp)
THE 7 ORACLES Trade on Kalshi