PMP · WHERE THE MODEL DISAGREES 2026 Week 1
GameModel backsMktEdge
BAL @ IND
IND 60% 36% +24
ARI @ LAC
ARI 30% 17% +13
MIA @ LV
MIA 47% 36% +11
NE @ SEA
NE 44% 35% +10
NO @ DET
NO 34% 25% +9
CHI @ CAR
CAR 50% 43% +7
DEN @ KC
DEN 49% 43% +6
TB @ CIN
TB 41% 36% +6
Edge = PMP model probability − Kalshi-implied price (pp), backed side · biggest gaps first
THE 7 ORACLES