PMP · WHERE THE MODEL DISAGREES 2026 Week 1
GameModel backsMktEdge
BAL @ IND
IND 60% 37% +23
ARI @ LAC
ARI 30% 17% +14
MIA @ LV
MIA 47% 37% +11
NO @ DET
NO 34% 24% +10
NE @ SEA
NE 44% 35% +10
CHI @ CAR
CAR 50% 43% +7
TB @ CIN
TB 41% 36% +5
NYJ @ TEN
NYJ 46% 41% +5
Edge = PMP model probability − Kalshi-implied price (pp), backed side · biggest gaps first
THE 7 ORACLES