{"slug":"nfl-model-line","title":"NFL Model Line vs Market — PMP Model","description":"The active NFL week’s full slate with the PMP Gridiron Edge model line and win probability for each game next to the live Kalshi prediction-market price and the model-minus-market edge. Every game, not just the disagreements. Refreshes every five minutes.","section":"sports","season":2026,"week":7,"state":"LIVE","state_reason":null,"as_of":"2026-10-24T12:10:02.363+00:00","updated_at":"2026-10-24T12:10:02.363+00:00","headline":{"eyebrow":"NFL Week 7 · model line vs market","big":"13","label":"games · Fair (books) vs Kalshi","sentence":"Every NFL Week 7 game still to play: the model's line, the fair (books) win probability for that side, and the Kalshi-implied price."},"data":[{"label":"PIT @ NO","team":"PIT","detail":"Moneyline · model favorite","line":"PIT -2.5","value_label":"Fair (books) %","value":60,"kalshi_cents":61,"edge_pp":0,"call":null,"url":null},{"label":"SF @ ATL","team":"SF","detail":"Moneyline · model favorite","line":"SF -2.0","value_label":"Fair (books) %","value":59,"kalshi_cents":59,"edge_pp":0,"call":null,"url":null},{"label":"CIN @ BAL","team":null,"detail":"Moneyline · model favorite","line":null,"value_label":null,"value":null,"kalshi_cents":49,"edge_pp":null,"call":"HELD — QB pending","url":null},{"label":"TB @ CAR","team":null,"detail":"Moneyline · model favorite","line":null,"value_label":null,"value":null,"kalshi_cents":60,"edge_pp":null,"call":"HELD — QB pending","url":null},{"label":"NYG @ HOU","team":"HOU","detail":"Moneyline · model favorite","line":"HOU -5.0","value_label":"Fair (books) %","value":82,"kalshi_cents":81,"edge_pp":2,"call":null,"url":null},{"label":"IND @ MIN","team":"MIN","detail":"Moneyline · model favorite","line":"MIN -4.0","value_label":"Fair (books) %","value":72,"kalshi_cents":72,"edge_pp":0,"call":null,"url":null},{"label":"MIA @ NYJ","team":"NYJ","detail":"Moneyline · model favorite","line":"NYJ -4.5","value_label":"Fair (books) %","value":65,"kalshi_cents":67,"edge_pp":-1,"call":null,"url":null},{"label":"CLE @ TEN","team":"CLE","detail":"Moneyline · model favorite","line":"CLE -1.0","value_label":"Fair (books) %","value":57,"kalshi_cents":54,"edge_pp":3,"call":null,"url":null},{"label":"DEN @ ARI","team":"DEN","detail":"Moneyline · model favorite","line":"DEN -2.5","value_label":"Fair (books) %","value":65,"kalshi_cents":67,"edge_pp":-1,"call":null,"url":null},{"label":"GB @ DET","team":"DET","detail":"Moneyline · model favorite","line":"DET -1.5","value_label":"Fair (books) %","value":62,"kalshi_cents":63,"edge_pp":0,"call":null,"url":null},{"label":"LAR @ LV","team":"LAR","detail":"Moneyline · model favorite","line":"LAR -2.5","value_label":"Fair (books) %","value":62,"kalshi_cents":61,"edge_pp":2,"call":null,"url":null},{"label":"KC @ SEA","team":"SEA","detail":"Moneyline · model favorite","line":"SEA -5.0","value_label":"Fair (books) %","value":60,"kalshi_cents":59,"edge_pp":2,"call":null,"url":null},{"label":"DAL @ PHI","team":"DAL","detail":"Moneyline · model favorite","line":"DAL -1.0","value_label":"Fair (books) %","value":65,"kalshi_cents":65,"edge_pp":1,"call":null,"url":null}],"page_url":"https://predictionmarketspicks.com/widgets/nfl-model-line","image_url":"https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/og/widget/nfl-model-line?v=7-2026-10-24T12","embed_url":"https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nfl-model-line/hero","data_url":"https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/public/nfl-model-line"}