{"slug":"nfl-edge-board","title":"Where the NFL Model Disagrees — PMP vs Market","description":"The biggest gaps between the PMP Gridiron Edge model and the NFL prediction market, ranked. Each row is the side the model backs, its win probability, the Kalshi-implied price, and the edge in percentage points. The consumer-safe expression of the edge — model + public prices only.","section":"sports","season":2026,"week":7,"state":"LIVE","state_reason":null,"as_of":null,"updated_at":null,"headline":{"eyebrow":"NFL Week 7 · Kalshi vs books","big":"+2.5pp","label":"CLE @ TEN · CLE fair (books) 57% · Kalshi 55¢","sentence":"1 open NFL Week 7 call; the widest is CLE @ TEN, CLE at 57% against Kalshi's 55¢ (+2.5pp, MODERATE)."},"data":[{"label":"CLE @ TEN","team":"CLE","detail":"Moneyline","line":null,"value_label":"Fair (books) %","value":57,"kalshi_cents":55,"edge_pp":2.5,"call":"MODERATE","url":null}],"page_url":"https://predictionmarketspicks.com/widgets/nfl-edge-board","image_url":"https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/og/widget/nfl-edge-board?v=7-na","embed_url":"https://predictionmarketspicks.com/embed/nfl-edge-board/hero","data_url":"https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/public/nfl-edge-board"}