Our model vs. the Kalshi and Polymarket price on NFL games, Fed meetings and commodities — we post the gap and grade every call in public.
Next up NFL Week 11 predictions
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Crypto · Live boardThree commodity markets settle on the same numbers options markets price every day. When the two diverge by more than the round-trip cost, we surface the strike.
Free shows direction. Pro shows the signed edge in pp on every strike, with Kalshi + Robinhood trade links.
Sat, Nov 14 · Dubai, United Arab Emirates
PFL Dubai — Sat, Nov 14
Main event: Vadim Nemkov vs. Sergei Bilostenniy — tale of the tape + market read →
PredictionMarketsPicks is a prediction-market data and tools site: it shows what Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing, runs its own models against those prices, and grades every signal in public on its track record. The 7 Oracles is its media and analysis layer — the articles, shows and daily reads.
An exchange where you buy contracts that pay $1 if an event happens and $0 if it does not. The price in cents is the market’s implied probability — a contract at 62¢ means traders put the outcome near 62%. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange; Polymarket runs an international venue and a separate CFTC-regulated US venue.
The newsletter, the daily market movers and the free calculators and boards cost nothing — the 34 site tools are listed on the tools page with what each one needs. Pro — $150 a year or $14.99 a month — adds the full edge boards, Thee Oracle, the cross-venue price-gap board and edge alerts in Discord.
No. We publish market information and trader tools; you open an account and trade on the exchange yourself. Nothing on the site is a guaranteed outcome — an edge is a disagreement between a model and the market, and the track record shows the losers too.
Live from the exchanges’ public market data — Kalshi first, with Polymarket (labelled by venue) and other platforms beside it where they list the same outcome. Every board shows when it was last updated.
“Apr 23, 2026 — first show. We’re just getting started.”
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Two emails a week from The 7 Oracles. The picks, the data, no fluff.
Every game this week: the straight-up winner, its win probability, the Kalshi price, the model’s lean against the market line, and the edge where the two disagree. Tap a game for the full read.
Winner = the side with the higher published win probability — the market-anchored fair value (books) once Kalshi prices a game. Lean = the model’s own line against the market line, in points — graded on its own, never a position. Kalshi = the mid price of the winner’s contract, in cents. Edge = fair value (books) minus Kalshi mid, in points of probability, on the play side — which can be the other team. A played game shows its final score and whether the pre-game favorite won; position results (Kalshi vs book consensus) come from the settled ledger.
Week 11 gamesColts at TexansDolphins at BillsRavens at PanthersSaints at BearsTitans at CowboysBuccaneers at LionsCardinals at ChiefsJaguars at GiantsJets at ChargersRaiders at BroncosSteelers at EaglesVikings at 49ersBengals at Commanders
NFL Week 10 predictions →NFL Week 11 predictions — early lines →Every game, every week →NFL standings →NFL predictions 2026 →
